Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 17.799577 20.696440 23.862428 27.572304 31.792896 36.437457 41.927802
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 12.906741 16.833304 21.570464 27.671559 35.282324 44.421466 56.180724
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.826753 14.058320 19.581426 27.240094 37.493326 50.642395 68.658761
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.665578 11.875729 17.752237 26.422554 38.728966 55.380765 79.381642
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.339552 10.532153 16.735719 26.389317 40.787438 61.164957 91.795595
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.393747 9.547808 16.026021 26.596883 43.066676 67.308032 105.094342
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.281783 8.082099 14.329843 25.016842 42.398148 68.977213 111.888001
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.844460 7.660708 14.218278 25.882796 45.535568 76.538651 128.034990
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.563938 7.462322 14.435483 27.284079 49.625428 85.857053 147.565685
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.026270 6.688835 13.532006 26.628521 50.181115 89.512913 158.296428
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.498803 5.837939 12.359772 25.328298 49.450517 90.924130 165.373103
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.383534 5.810816 12.735188 26.908967 53.949799 101.464181 188.429424
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.302128 5.867205 13.327257 29.060360 59.865370 115.207110 218.513431
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.029971 5.455225 12.927363 29.249812 62.193705 122.923058 238.899650
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.745059 4.954750 12.263497 28.813138 63.260235 128.432130 255.770672
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.474378 4.428861 11.456384 27.956488 63.375736 132.141440 269.576339
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.298378 4.107004 11.058189 27.922177 65.137469 139.074499 289.841297
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.160817 3.858302 10.791587 28.140681 67.433490 147.196140 312.906522
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.945380 3.337102 9.771149 26.478180 65.502371 146.759739 319.322508
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.880469 3.247968 9.831433 27.389410 69.318747 158.223298 349.993439
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.844639 3.241893 10.108823 28.863626 74.537276 172.942637 388.136063
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.727877 2.945613 9.553153 28.173999 74.700700 177.057453 404.915398
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.604644 2.593279 8.777522 26.805943 73.111653 177.278282 413.602238